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XAU/USD Asset Sheet

Gold spot on one page — regime across all five timeframes, trend & control, support/resistance, moving averages, momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ range. Snapshot as of Aug 12, 2026.

Regime IntelligenceUpdated August 12, 20262 min readXAU/USD
RI™ Asset Sheet Series
XAU/USD · Gold spot · COMMODITY
$4,421.12 +53.40 (+1.2%)
from today's open · snapshot Aug 12, 2026 · 11:32 ET
Regime · Daily
Thin Ice
FRAGILE

All numbers below are from Aug 12, 2026 · 11:32 ET. Prices and engine data may have changed since this snapshot. This sheet describes conditions at one moment — it is not a forecast.

Open live XAU/USD chart →
The read

XAU/USD rose 1.2%. Daily regime: Thin Ice (shorter timeframes are calmer). Over the Wilder-smoothed lookback on the daily timeframe (Wilder period 14 (~27–28 bars effective memory)), upward directional movement has been greater than downward (+DI 29.6 vs −DI 9.2). R3 at 4,514.15 aligns with +1σ (0.33% apart). Short-TF ADX near 51 while weekly 25 still below trend-confirmation zone. RSI 70.0 is mid-band in bull trend (current) mode; MACD is above signal with histogram pressure building. Hurst 0.52 — no clear persistence either way; Over the Wilder-smoothed lookback on the daily timeframe (Wilder period 14 (~27–28 bars effective memory)), ADX is 32.0 — trend strength is elevated; use +DI vs −DI for direction. Daily trend tag is “trend established” — Wilder-smoothed ADX is 32.0 and structure agrees across timeframes. This describes conditions at the snapshot — not a forecast of direction.

Playbook
  • Continuation: hold 4,383.32 and accept above 4,423.41 – 4,434.79 toward 4,476.40 – 4,488.41 — the Wilder-smoothed read still favors upward movement; wait for follow-through at the level.
  • Pullback case: retest 4,383.32 after a 0.7σ session — extensions need a floor to continue.
  • Trap: trading the label instead of the level — 4,423.41 – 4,434.79 and 4,383.32 define the next decision, not the regime name.

Descriptive if/then scenarios only — not a buy or sell recommendation.

Structure
  • R1 near 4,423.41 – 4,434.79 (Swing · prior-day high) — first hurdle above spot.
  • S1 near 4,383.32 — first support if price slips; R2 / highs near 4,476.40 – 4,488.41.
  • S2 near 4,356.49 – 4,363.38 if S1 fails.
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Price map — what to watch on the chart

Daily candles to the snapshot date. Chart overlays the nearest 3 supports and 3 resistances; the S/R section below lists up to 4 per side. Top strip lists those chart levels; Y-axis shows short tags only (R1, S1, ±σ). Blue line = snapshot price.

XAU/USD daily price map with support, resistance, moving averages, snapshot price, and 1σ / 2σ cones — snapshot 2026-08-12
Download chart PNG

Daily σ price band

Typical one-day up/down range from 252 days of daily log returns — same formula as the live app.

−3σ
$4,206.62
−4.9%
−2σ
$4,278.03
−3.2%
−1σ
$4,350.66
−1.6%
SPOT
$4,421.12
+1σ
$4,499.64
+1.8%
+2σ
$4,576.03
+3.5%
+3σ
$4,653.71
+5.3%

252-day historical daily vol at snapshot: 1σ ≈ 1.68% (±$78.52 on this close). 252 trading days of daily log returns → μ and σ → spot × exp(μ ± k·σ). Same engine formula as Call for Action. Historical close-to-close vol — not ATR or options implied vol.

Support & Resistance

Prices where the move has paused before. Resistance sits above price; support sits below.

Resistance
4,423.41 – 4,434.79

Swing · prior-day high

Distance from Spot ~0%
Level Strength Strong
4,476.40 – 4,488.41

Swing

Distance from Spot ~1.4%↑
Level Strength Weak
4,514.15

Swing

Distance from Spot ~2.1%↑
Level Strength Weak
4,540.09 – 4,558.72

Swing

Distance from Spot ~2.9%↑
Level Strength Weak
Support
4,383.32

Swing

Distance from Spot ~0.85%↓
Level Strength Moderate
4,356.49 – 4,363.38

Swing · prior-day low

Distance from Spot ~1.4%↓
Level Strength Strong
4,326.71

Swing

Distance from Spot ~2.1%↓
Level Strength Weak
4,303.73 – 4,317.12

Swing

Distance from Spot ~2.5%↓
Level Strength Moderate

52-Week Range

Where today’s price sits between the 12-month low and high.

$4,421.12 · 41%
52W Low $3,614.09 −18.3%ATH / 52W High $5,597.23 +26.6%

Regime — All Timeframes

The market “weather” on each timeframe — calm, expansion, fragile, or stressed. Timeframes can disagree.

15M
Clear Skies
CALM
1H
Clear Skies
CALM
4H
Clear Skies
CALM
1D
Thin Ice
FRAGILE
1W
Thin Ice
FRAGILE

Market Structure

Market structure on each timeframe — tags, bar color, and footer from the ordered ADX / Hurst / DI decision tree.

15M
trend emerging
ADX 20.9 · downward > upward (Wilder period 14)
1H
no trend
ADX 17.5 · direction tied (Wilder period 14)
4H
extreme trend
ADX 51.1 · upward > downward (Wilder period 14)
1D
trend established
ADX 32.0 · upward > downward (Wilder period 14)
1W
trend emerging
ADX 24.7 · direction tied (Wilder period 14)

Trend Persistence (1D)

Daily Hurst persistence proxy, +DI/−DI (Wilder period 14 (~27–28 bars effective memory)), and ADX strength — same inputs as the structure engine.

SignalValueRead
Hurst0.52Neutral band · persistence not fully confirmed
DI+ / DI−29.6 / 9.2Wilder-smoothed: upward movement > downward
ADX32.0Wilder-smoothed: trend strength elevated

Moving Averages (1D)

Where price sits versus its 50-, 100-, and 200-day averages. Above = longer-term strength; below = weakness.

MAPriceVs Spot
SMA 504,125.17Above +7.2%
SMA 1004,342.78Above +1.8%
SMA 2004,509.10Below −2.0%

Momentum (1D)

Short-term speed of the move. RSI flags stretched conditions; MACD shows momentum building or fading.

SignalValueRead
RSI (14)70.0Neutral · adaptive 40/80 band
MACD67.87Above signal · momentum firm
Signal / Hist25.03 / 42.84Buying pressure widening

Adaptive RSI Bands

Range / revert
OB 70OS 30
Transition
OB 65OS 35
Bull trend (current)
OB 80OS 40
Bear trend
OB 60OS 20

Daily structure: bull trend → adaptive oversold/overbought at 40/80 (not fixed 70/30). RSI 70.0 reads neutral. Trend is active but Hurst is in the neutral band — use the adaptive band and treat RSI stretches with extra caution.

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Generated from live Regime Intelligence engine data. Descriptive context only — not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets guarantee nothing. Educational use only. Not investment advice.

RI™ Asset Sheet Series · XAU/USD · Snapshot Aug 12 2026 11:32 ET

The XAU/USD Asset Sheet is the entire Regime Intelligence read on Gold spot, on one page — built from the same engine that powers the live app. Download it, share it, keep it next to your charts.

What's inside

  • Regime across all five timeframes — 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D, 1W.
  • Trend & control per timeframe — ADX, DI, and Hurst.
  • Support/resistance, key levels, and 50/100/200-day moving averages.
  • Momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ price range.

This sheet is a dated snapshot (Aug 12, 2026). For the live, always-current XAU/USD read, open it in the app.

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Informational only — not investment advice. Engine data as of publication date; live reads may differ. Disclaimer.

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