XAU/USD

4,210.70

Gold spot

Session

Open: 4,194.13
High: 4,216.21
Low: 4,184.15
Close: 4,206.16

Change

Chg: 77.12
% Chg: +1.87%

Prior

Prev close: 4,133.58

52-week

Low: 3,949.45
High: 5,597.23
Range: 3,949.45 - 5,597.23

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Storm Warning

Market stress: 89.5%(elevated)

In this regime now (1d): 1 1d bars (1 day)

Times entered this regime (1d): 54

Gold spot has entered Storm Warning 54 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 6.6% (mean +7.3%) — positive 65% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 49 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +6.6% · negative 35% of the time · worst case -21.9%

Watch for: historically, Gold spot exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 75% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Storm Warning.

5 bars58%positiven=53

10 bars57%positiven=53

21 bars48%positiven=52

30 bars52%positiven=52

90 bars62%positiven=50

180 bars65%positiven=49