XAU/USD

4,032.75

Gold spot

Session

Open: 4,048.73
High: 4,054.56
Low: 4,016.74
Close: 4,037.11

Change

Chg: -44.21
% Chg: -1.08%

Prior

Prev close: 4,076.96

52-week

Low: 3,318.28
High: 5,597.23
Range: 3,318.28 - 5,597.23

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Full Storm

Market stress: 47.8%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 11 1d bars (11 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 213

Gold spot has entered Full Storm 213 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.2% (mean +1.5%) — positive 49% of the time.

Confidence: High — Based on 210 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -0.2% · more often negative than positive · worst case -34.7%

Watch for: historically, Gold spot exited Full Storm within 10 bars in 59% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.

5 bars53%positiven=213

10 bars54%positiven=213

21 bars50%positiven=212

30 bars46%positiven=212

90 bars46%positiven=212

180 bars49%positiven=210