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SEE THE SHIFT BEFORE THE MOVE
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Global live market regime detection. In plain English.
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What’s a regime?
One plain-English state that tells you what the market is doing right now.
The 5 Regime States
Every asset. Every timeframe. One of five states.
Market Regime Explained▼
Each timeframe is assigned exactly one market regime. The engine ranks today's Composite Stress Score (CSS) against that rolling history and expresses the result as a 0–100th percentile stress rank. CSS blends volatility, drawdown, momentum stress, and related inputs into one score — it measures market stress, not price direction.
The rank uses a rolling history of past CSS values on that same timeframe and asset. Window length is calibrated per timeframe and asset class — roughly three years of history at the long horizon (Wl): about 756 daily bars for US equities and large-cap stocks, about 1,095 daily bars for crypto on 1D, and proportionally longer windows on intraday bars.
The labels below translate those percentile rankings into plain-English market states. Every asset on Regime Intelligence gets one of these five labels on every timeframe.
Important: A regime describes the current market environment — not whether price is bullish or bearish. An asset can rally or decline in any regime. The label reflects the level of market stress relative to that asset's own history, not the expected direction of the next move.
Regimes are relative to each asset's own historical behavior. Clear Skies for Bitcoin does not imply the same level of absolute volatility as Clear Skies for Treasury bonds or large-cap equities.
To reduce unnecessary regime changes, all labels require persistence before transitioning. Higher-stress regimes generally require stronger confirmation before clearing.
| Regime | Stress rank | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| 🌤 Clear Skies | Lowest ~30% | Quiet conditions |
| 🌬 Tailwind | 30–50% | Orderly market |
| 🧊 Thin Ice | 50–70% | Stress building |
| ⛈ Storm Warning | 70–90% | Elevated stress |
| 🌪 Full Storm | Top ~10% | Extreme stress |
In practice: Volatility is unusually quiet for this asset on this timeframe. Price action is generally smoother, daily swings tend to be smaller, and volatility shocks occur less frequently. Strong trends can still develop, but the market environment is not being dominated by elevated stress.
Engine rule: CSS ranks below approximately the 30th percentile — current stress is lower than roughly 70% of recent observations for this asset and timeframe.
In practice: Volatility is present but remains generally supportive of orderly price discovery. Trends often extend without the instability seen in higher-stress environments, while pullbacks are less likely to become disorderly. Market conditions remain constructive, although direction should always be confirmed using other indicators.
Engine rule: CSS ranks between approximately the 30th and 50th percentiles — lower-to-middle historical stress for this asset on this timeframe.
In practice: The ground is beginning to crack. Volatility is increasing, market conditions become less stable, and reversals become more common. Breakouts may become less reliable as uncertainty builds, requiring greater selectivity and risk awareness.
Engine rule: CSS ranks between approximately the 50th and 70th percentiles — upper-middle historical stress. Early-warning zone where stress is becoming meaningful but has not yet reached extreme levels.
In practice: Market stress has become elevated. Price swings widen, gap risk increases, and technical behavior becomes less predictable. Traditional chart patterns and technical setups often become less dependable until stress begins to subside.
Engine rule: CSS ranks between approximately the 70th and 90th percentiles — within the highest 20% of historical stress for this asset and timeframe.
In practice: The market is experiencing exceptionally high stress. Large price swings, heightened gap risk, and sharp increases in volatility can dominate price behavior. Correlations may shift unexpectedly, and many traditional technical reference points become less reliable while stress remains elevated.
Engine rule: CSS ranks above the 90th percentile (not including 90 itself), or an immediate crash override is triggered by severe drawdown or volatility-spike rules within the engine.
Low stress relative to history. Quieter volatility and smoother price action.
Moderate stress with orderly conditions. Trends can extend without extreme instability.
Stress building. Volatility rising and structure less stable — size and selectivity matter.
High stress for this asset. Wider swings, less reliable technical setups until stress eases.
Extreme stress or crash override. Large moves and gap risk dominate until de-escalation.
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What you get
Four reasons traders switch to regime-first thinking.
Every feature answers one question: what is the market doing, and what should I do about it?
Live Composite Stress Score
Twelve independent signal channels — volatility, momentum, credit, rates, breadth, cross-asset correlation and more — aggregated into a single 0–100 stress number. Color-coded. Instantly readable. No quant degree required.
LiveCSS channels contributing to SPY 1D score
GLD · all timeframes simultaneously
Strong Alignment
4 / 5 timeframes agree · High conviction signal
Multi-Timeframe in One View
See what every timeframe is saying simultaneously — from 15-minute intraday to weekly macro. When all five agree, that’s conviction. When they diverge, that’s your warning. The Timeframe Agreement Score quantifies exactly how synchronized the market is.
Strong alignment = high-conviction tradesEarly Warning System — before the headlines
The Event Velocity Score tracks how fast stress is accelerating. When it crosses a critical threshold beforeprice fully reacts, the Early Warning flag fires. That’s the difference between anticipating a move and reacting to one. The edge is here.
Signal fires before stress peaksEarly warning signal — example
⚠ EWS Active
Stress accelerating above 85th percentile
⚠ EWS Active
Velocity score: 0.88 · Rising fast
No Signal
Stress stable
Global regime snapshot · 1D · example
Global coverage — thousands of assets across 15 markets
Not just US equities. Stocks from India, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE, Qatar, Israel. Crypto 24/7. FX majors. Commodities. High-yield credit. Macro. See where stress is building globally — before it reaches your portfolio. The universe expands every month.
Live across every major asset classAsset Sheet Generation
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Pick from thousands of global assets, generate a sheet in one click, download the PDF, and share your own posts.
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Per-asset deep dive
Plain-English “Call for Action” on every asset.
Click any symbol and get the meal, not the ingredients: mathematically-derived support and resistance, breach alerts, daily σ price targets, ADX / DI trend strength, and RSI · SMI · MACD across all five timeframes. No Fibonacci. No round numbers. Only levels the market has proven real — tested and confirmed across multiple timeframes.
Resistance
prior-day high + 50-EMA
1H · 4H · 1D
prior-week high
1D · 1W
200-SMA
1D
Support
price-action + 20-EMA
15m · 1H · 4H
prior-week low
4H · 1D
100-SMA
1D
Daily σ price ranges
- +1σ
- 751.20
- 0σ
- 743.74
- −1σ
- 736.30
- +2σ
- 758.65
- −2σ
- 728.83
- +3σ
- 766.11
Trend & momentum — 5 timeframes
ADX strength, DI side, then RSI · SMI · MACD pills. Agreement = conviction.
Built-in AI analyst
Feel lost? Just ask Shisho.
Shisho is the AI analyst built into every page. It sees the same data you see — the asset, the timeframe, the regime, the stress channels — and answers in plain English. No prompt engineering. No quant background needed.
Try these questions
- “Explain Storm Warning for BTC like I'm new.”
- “What's the RSI on 1h for SPY?”
- “Is GLD aligned across all timeframes today?”
- “Why is the credit channel red?”
Shisho · BTC · 4H
live15 markets · stocks, FX, crypto, commodities, bonds
15m · 1H · 4H · 1D · 1W
Live data, not delayed snapshots
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