Equities
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 49.1%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 9 1d bars (9 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 84
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust has entered Tailwind 84 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 10.3% (mean +8.0%) — positive 81% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 81 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +10.3% · negative 19% of the time (roughly 1 in 5) · worst case -34.2%
Watch for: historically, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 61% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.