Equities
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Storm WarningMarket stress: 87.5%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 4 1d bars (4 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 49
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust has entered Storm Warning 49 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 8.8% (mean +7.9%) — positive 74% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 46 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +8.8% · negative 26% of the time (roughly 1 in 4) · worst case -14.7%
Watch for: historically, SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust exited Storm Warning within 10 bars in 58% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Storm Warning.