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XAU/USD Asset Sheet

Gold spot on one page — regime across all five timeframes, trend & control, support/resistance, moving averages, momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ range. Snapshot as of Aug 5, 2026.

Regime IntelligenceUpdated October 12, 20262 min readXAU/USD
RI™ Asset Sheet Series
XAU/USD · Gold spot · COMMODITY
$4,249.29 ▲ +171.89 (+4.2%)
from today's open · snapshot Aug 5, 2026 · 16:19 ET
Regime · Daily
Tailwind
EXPANSION

All numbers below are from Aug 5, 2026 · 16:19 ET. Prices and engine data may have changed since this snapshot. This sheet describes conditions at one moment — it is not a forecast.

Open live XAU/USD chart →
The read

At this snapshot, the daily bar sat in Tailwind (weekly: Thin Ice). On the daily bar, ADX was 25.0 (below 25 · not confirmed) while DI+ led DI− (26.2 / 13.4) and Hurst sat near 0.51 (random walk). Price was below the 100-day/200-day and above the 50-day. Put together: buyers had the daily wheel, and trend strength looked locked in (ADX at or above 25). MACD and the histogram lined up with that same side — control and momentum were telling one story. RSI was stretched to the overbought side — control and momentum agreed, but stretch is the soft spot where advances may pause or cool. Hurst sat near random walk — persistence was not a strong vote either way. This describes conditions at the snapshot — not a forecast of direction.

Technicals
  • Levels: R1 at $4,267.14 — first resistance above snapshot price (Swing).
  • Levels: A sustained move above R1 could bring R2 at $4,367.58 – 4,383.62 into focus; a failure could see price retreat toward S1 at $4,150.28 and S2 at $4,065.91 if S1 fails.
  • Levels: Monitor participation on any test of R1 or S1 — thin moves are less convincing than volume-backed acceptance.
  • MAs: Spot vs 50/100/200 — $4,113.36 (Above +3.3%), $4,359.45 (Below −2.5%), $4,502.41 (Below −5.6%).
  • Momentum: Adaptive RSI in Transition (current) mode — OB/OS at 65/35; RSI 62.4 reads lean OB · 35 band. MACD Above signal; Bull widening.
The bottom line
  • Tailwind daily backdrop — weekly read Thin Ice. Buyers led the daily bar; momentum agreed.
  • With buyers and momentum aligned, the map question is whether R1 near $4,267.14 gives way on acceptance — or whether a failure drops attention back to S1 near $4,150.28. The RSI stretch is the soft spot on that push.
  • Stretch check: RSI 62.4 (lean OB · 35 band). Price was below the 100-day/200-day and above the 50-day.
  • Open the live XAU/USD chart for current reads — this sheet is a fixed snapshot (engine bar date 2026-08-05).

Descriptive if/then scenarios only — not a buy or sell recommendation.

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Price map — what to watch on the chart

Daily candles to the snapshot date. Chart overlays the nearest 3 supports and 3 resistances; the S/R section below lists up to 4 per side. Top strip lists those chart levels; Y-axis shows short tags only (R1, S1, ±σ). Blue line = snapshot price.

XAU/USD daily price map with support, resistance, moving averages, snapshot price, and 1σ / 2σ cones — snapshot 2026-08-05
Download chart PNG

Daily σ price band

Typical one-day up/down range from 252 days of daily log returns — same formula as the live app.

−3σ
$4,043.38
−4.8%
−2σ
$4,111.95
−3.2%
−1σ
$4,181.69
−1.6%
SPOT
$4,249.29
—
+1σ
$4,324.72
+1.8%
+2σ
$4,398.07
+3.5%
+3σ
$4,472.65
+5.3%

252-day historical daily vol at snapshot: 1σ ≈ 1.68% (±$75.43 on this close). 252 trading days of daily log returns → μ and σ → spot × exp(μ ± k·σ). Same engine formula as Call for Action. Historical close-to-close vol — not ATR or options implied vol.

Support & Resistance

Prices where the move has paused before. Resistance sits above price; support sits below.

Resistance
4,267.14

Swing

Distance from Spot ~0.42%↑
Level Strength Moderate
4,367.58 – 4,383.62

Swing

Distance from Spot ~3.0%↑
Level Strength Strong
4,476.40 – 4,488.41

Swing

Distance from Spot ~5.5%↑
Level Strength Weak
4,514.15

Swing

Distance from Spot ~6.2%↑
Level Strength Weak
Support
4,150.28

Swing

Distance from Spot ~2.3%↓
Level Strength Weak
4,065.91

Swing

Distance from Spot ~4.3%↓
Level Strength Moderate
4,042.61 – 4,051.54

Swing · prior-day low

Distance from Spot ~4.8%↓
Level Strength Strong
4,016.74 – 4,029.79

Swing

Distance from Spot ~5.3%↓
Level Strength Strong

52-Week Range

Where today’s price sits between the 12-month low and high.

$4,249.29 · 36%
52W Low $3,486.35 −18.0%ATH / 52W High $5,597.23 +31.7%

Regime — All Timeframes

The market “weather” on each timeframe — calm, expansion, fragile, or stressed. Timeframes can disagree.

15M
Clear Skies
CALM
1H
Clear Skies
CALM
4H
Clear Skies
CALM
1D
Tailwind
EXPANSION
1W
Thin Ice
FRAGILE

Market Structure

Whether a real trend exists, and who is in control (buyers or sellers), on each timeframe.

15M
random walk
ADX 33.9 · bull DI
1H
random walk
ADX 57.8 · bull DI
4H
random walk
ADX 27.9 · bull DI
1D
trend emerging
ADX 25.0 · bull DI
1W
random walk
ADX 26.9 · bear DI

Trend Persistence (1D)

Whether the daily move is likely to continue (trend) or fade (mean-revert), and which side is in control.

SignalValueRead
Hurst0.51Random walk
DI+ / DI−26.2 / 13.4DI+ higher (daily bar)
ADX25.0Below 25 · not confirmed

Moving Averages (1D)

Where price sits versus its 50-, 100-, and 200-day averages. Above = longer-term strength; below = weakness.

MAPriceVs Spot
SMA 504,113.36Above +3.3%
SMA 1004,359.45Below −2.5%
SMA 2004,502.41Below −5.6%

Momentum (1D)

Short-term speed of the move. RSI flags stretched conditions; MACD shows momentum building or fading.

SignalValueRead
RSI (14)62.4lean OB · 35 band
MACD-1.66Above signal
Signal / Hist-20.61 / 18.96Bull widening

Adaptive RSI Bands

Range / revert
OB 70OS 30
Transition (current) ★
OB 65OS 35
Bull trend
OB 80OS 40
Bear trend
OB 60OS 20

1D is in transition with bullish DI, so the engine uses the 35 / 65 band (not the fixed 70/30). RSI 62.4 sits lean OB → reads as lean ob. Same adaptive logic as the live Call-for-Action tab.

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Generated from live Regime Intelligence engine data. Descriptive context only — not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets guarantee nothing. Educational use only. Not investment advice.

RI™ Asset Sheet Series · XAU/USD · Snapshot Aug 5 2026 16:19 ET

The XAU/USD Asset Sheet is the entire Regime Intelligence read on Gold spot, on one page — built from the same engine that powers the live app. Download it, share it, keep it next to your charts.

What's inside

  • Regime across all five timeframes — 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D, 1W.
  • Trend & control per timeframe — ADX, DI, and Hurst.
  • Support/resistance, key levels, and 50/100/200-day moving averages.
  • Momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ price range.

This sheet is a dated snapshot (Aug 5, 2026). For the live, always-current XAU/USD read, open it in the app.

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Informational only — not investment advice. Engine data as of publication date; live reads may differ. Disclaimer.

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