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XAU/USD Asset Sheet

Gold spot on one page — regime across all five timeframes, trend & control, support/resistance, moving averages, momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ range. Snapshot as of Aug 5, 2026.

Regime IntelligenceUpdated September 22, 20262 min readXAU/USD
RI™ Asset Sheet Series
XAU/USD · Gold spot · COMMODITY
$4,249.29 +171.89 (+4.2%)
from today's open · snapshot Aug 5, 2026 · 16:19 ET
Regime · Daily
Tailwind
EXPANSION

All numbers below are from Aug 5, 2026 · 16:19 ET. Prices and engine data may have changed since this snapshot. This sheet describes conditions at one moment — it is not a forecast.

Open live XAU/USD chart →
The read

At this snapshot, the daily bar sat in Tailwind (weekly: Thin Ice). On the daily bar, ADX was 25.0 (below 25 · not confirmed) while DI+ led DI− (26.2 / 13.4) and Hurst sat near 0.51 (random walk). Price was below the 100-day/200-day and above the 50-day. Put together: buyers had the daily wheel, and trend strength looked locked in (ADX at or above 25). MACD and the histogram lined up with that same side — control and momentum were telling one story. RSI was stretched to the overbought side — control and momentum agreed, but stretch is the soft spot where advances may pause or cool. Hurst sat near random walk — persistence was not a strong vote either way. This describes conditions at the snapshot — not a forecast of direction.

Technicals
  • Levels: R1 at $4,267.14 — first resistance above snapshot price (Swing).
  • Levels: A sustained move above R1 could bring R2 at $4,367.58 – 4,383.62 into focus; a failure could see price retreat toward S1 at $4,150.28 and S2 at $4,065.91 if S1 fails.
  • Levels: Monitor participation on any test of R1 or S1 — thin moves are less convincing than volume-backed acceptance.
  • MAs: Spot vs 50/100/200 — $4,113.36 (Above +3.3%), $4,359.45 (Below −2.5%), $4,502.41 (Below −5.6%).
  • Momentum: Adaptive RSI in Transition (current) mode — OB/OS at 65/35; RSI 62.4 reads lean OB · 35 band. MACD Above signal; Bull widening.
The bottom line
  • Tailwind daily backdrop — weekly read Thin Ice. Buyers led the daily bar; momentum agreed.
  • With buyers and momentum aligned, the map question is whether R1 near $4,267.14 gives way on acceptance — or whether a failure drops attention back to S1 near $4,150.28. The RSI stretch is the soft spot on that push.
  • Stretch check: RSI 62.4 (lean OB · 35 band). Price was below the 100-day/200-day and above the 50-day.
  • Open the live XAU/USD chart for current reads — this sheet is a fixed snapshot (engine bar date 2026-08-05).

Descriptive if/then scenarios only — not a buy or sell recommendation.

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Price map — what to watch on the chart

Daily candles to the snapshot date. Chart overlays the nearest 3 supports and 3 resistances; the S/R section below lists up to 4 per side. Top strip lists those chart levels; Y-axis shows short tags only (R1, S1, ±σ). Blue line = snapshot price.

XAU/USD daily price map with support, resistance, moving averages, snapshot price, and 1σ / 2σ cones — snapshot 2026-08-05
Download chart PNG

Daily σ price band

Typical one-day up/down range from 252 days of daily log returns — same formula as the live app.

−3σ
$4,043.38
−4.8%
−2σ
$4,111.95
−3.2%
−1σ
$4,181.69
−1.6%
SPOT
$4,249.29
+1σ
$4,324.72
+1.8%
+2σ
$4,398.07
+3.5%
+3σ
$4,472.65
+5.3%

252-day historical daily vol at snapshot: 1σ ≈ 1.68% (±$75.43 on this close). 252 trading days of daily log returns → μ and σ → spot × exp(μ ± k·σ). Same engine formula as Call for Action. Historical close-to-close vol — not ATR or options implied vol.

Support & Resistance

Prices where the move has paused before. Resistance sits above price; support sits below.

Resistance
4,267.14

Swing

Distance from Spot ~0.42%↑
Level Strength Moderate
4,367.58 – 4,383.62

Swing

Distance from Spot ~3.0%↑
Level Strength Strong
4,476.40 – 4,488.41

Swing

Distance from Spot ~5.5%↑
Level Strength Weak
4,514.15

Swing

Distance from Spot ~6.2%↑
Level Strength Weak
Support
4,150.28

Swing

Distance from Spot ~2.3%↓
Level Strength Weak
4,065.91

Swing

Distance from Spot ~4.3%↓
Level Strength Moderate
4,042.61 – 4,051.54

Swing · prior-day low

Distance from Spot ~4.8%↓
Level Strength Strong
4,016.74 – 4,029.79

Swing

Distance from Spot ~5.3%↓
Level Strength Strong

52-Week Range

Where today’s price sits between the 12-month low and high.

$4,249.29 · 36%
52W Low $3,486.35 −18.0%ATH / 52W High $5,597.23 +31.7%

Regime — All Timeframes

The market “weather” on each timeframe — calm, expansion, fragile, or stressed. Timeframes can disagree.

15M
Clear Skies
CALM
1H
Clear Skies
CALM
4H
Clear Skies
CALM
1D
Tailwind
EXPANSION
1W
Thin Ice
FRAGILE

Market Structure

Whether a real trend exists, and who is in control (buyers or sellers), on each timeframe.

15M
random walk
ADX 33.9 · bull DI
1H
random walk
ADX 57.8 · bull DI
4H
random walk
ADX 27.9 · bull DI
1D
trend emerging
ADX 25.0 · bull DI
1W
random walk
ADX 26.9 · bear DI

Trend Persistence (1D)

Whether the daily move is likely to continue (trend) or fade (mean-revert), and which side is in control.

SignalValueRead
Hurst0.51Random walk
DI+ / DI−26.2 / 13.4DI+ higher (daily bar)
ADX25.0Below 25 · not confirmed

Moving Averages (1D)

Where price sits versus its 50-, 100-, and 200-day averages. Above = longer-term strength; below = weakness.

MAPriceVs Spot
SMA 504,113.36Above +3.3%
SMA 1004,359.45Below −2.5%
SMA 2004,502.41Below −5.6%

Momentum (1D)

Short-term speed of the move. RSI flags stretched conditions; MACD shows momentum building or fading.

SignalValueRead
RSI (14)62.4lean OB · 35 band
MACD-1.66Above signal
Signal / Hist-20.61 / 18.96Bull widening

Adaptive RSI Bands

Range / revert
OB 70OS 30
Transition (current)
OB 65OS 35
Bull trend
OB 80OS 40
Bear trend
OB 60OS 20

1D is in transition with bullish DI, so the engine uses the 35 / 65 band (not the fixed 70/30). RSI 62.4 sits lean OB → reads as lean ob. Same adaptive logic as the live Call-for-Action tab.

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Generated from live Regime Intelligence engine data. Descriptive context only — not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets guarantee nothing. Educational use only. Not investment advice.

RI™ Asset Sheet Series · XAU/USD · Snapshot Aug 5 2026 16:19 ET

The XAU/USD Asset Sheet is the entire Regime Intelligence read on Gold spot, on one page — built from the same engine that powers the live app. Download it, share it, keep it next to your charts.

What's inside

  • Regime across all five timeframes — 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D, 1W.
  • Trend & control per timeframe — ADX, DI, and Hurst.
  • Support/resistance, key levels, and 50/100/200-day moving averages.
  • Momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ price range.

This sheet is a dated snapshot (Aug 5, 2026). For the live, always-current XAU/USD read, open it in the app.

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Informational only — not investment advice. Engine data as of publication date; live reads may differ. Disclaimer.

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