XAU/USD Asset Sheet
Gold spot on one page — regime across all five timeframes, trend & control, support/resistance, moving averages, momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ range. Snapshot as of Jul 31, 2026.
All numbers below are from Aug 1, 2026 · 12:06 ET. Prices and engine data may have changed since this snapshot. This sheet describes conditions at one moment — it is not a forecast.
Open live XAU/USD chart →At this snapshot, the daily bar sat in Full Storm (weekly: Thin Ice). On the daily bar, ADX was 27.8 (trend strength confirmed) while DI− led DI+ (16.0 / 18.1) and Hurst sat near 0.52 (random walk). Price sat below the 50-day/100-day/200-day average(s). Put together: sellers had the daily wheel, and trend strength looked locked in (ADX at or above 25). Momentum did not fully agree with that control read — MACD and the histogram argued the other way, so the picture split. RSI sat in a more neutral band — less of a stretch story, more of a control-and-momentum story. Hurst sat near random walk — persistence was not a strong vote either way. This describes conditions at the snapshot — not a forecast of direction.
- Levels: R1 at $4,088.53 – 4,105.60 — first resistance above snapshot price (Swing · 4h 200-SMA).
- Levels: A sustained move above R1 could bring R2 at $4,114.04 – 4,119.46 into focus; a failure could see price retreat toward S1 at $4,013.94 – 4,029.17 and S2 at $3,996.32 – 4,012.45 if S1 fails.
- Levels: Monitor participation on any test of R1 or S1 — thin moves are less convincing than volume-backed acceptance.
- MAs: Spot vs 50/100/200 — $4,118.95 (Below −1.8%), $4,375.29 (Below −7.5%), $4,502.62 (Below −10.2%).
- Momentum: Adaptive RSI in Transition (current) mode — OB/OS at 65/35; RSI 46.0 reads neutral · 35 band. MACD Above signal; Bull narrowing.
- Full Storm daily backdrop — weekly read Thin Ice. Sellers led the daily bar; momentum argued the other way.
- Because control and momentum were not fully aligned, treat R1 near $4,088.53 – 4,105.60 and S1 near $4,013.94 – 4,029.17 as the chapters to watch — whichever side accepts first may clarify the next page.
- Stretch check: RSI 46.0 (neutral · 35 band). Price sat below the 50-day/100-day/200-day average(s).
- Open the live XAU/USD chart for current reads — this sheet is a fixed snapshot (engine bar date 2026-07-31).
Descriptive if/then scenarios only — not a buy or sell recommendation.
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Sign up free →Price map — what to watch on the chart
Daily candles to the snapshot date. Chart overlays the nearest 3 supports and 3 resistances; the S/R section below lists up to 4 per side. Top strip lists those chart levels; Y-axis shows short tags only (R1, S1, ±σ). Blue line = snapshot price.
Daily σ price band
Typical one-day up/down range from 252 days of daily log returns — same formula as the live app.
252-day historical daily vol at snapshot: 1σ ≈ 1.66% (±$70.80 on this close). 252 trading days of daily log returns → μ and σ → spot × exp(μ ± k·σ). Same engine formula as Call for Action. Historical close-to-close vol — not ATR or options implied vol.
Support & Resistance
Prices where the move has paused before. Resistance sits above price; support sits below.
Swing · 4h 200-SMA
Swing · prior-day high · 1d 50-SMA
Swing
Swing · prior-week high
Swing · prior-day low
Swing
Swing · prior-week low
Swing · prior-month low
52-Week Range
Where today’s price sits between the 12-month low and high.
Regime — All Timeframes
The market “weather” on each timeframe — calm, expansion, fragile, or stressed. Timeframes can disagree.
Market Structure
Whether a real trend exists, and who is in control (buyers or sellers), on each timeframe.
Trend Persistence (1D)
Whether the daily move is likely to continue (trend) or fade (mean-revert), and which side is in control.
| Signal | Value | Read |
|---|---|---|
| Hurst | 0.52 | Random walk |
| DI+ / DI− | 16.0 / 18.1 | DI near tie (daily bar) |
| ADX | 27.8 | Trend strength confirmed |
Moving Averages (1D)
Where price sits versus its 50-, 100-, and 200-day averages. Above = longer-term strength; below = weakness.
| MA | Price | Vs Spot |
|---|---|---|
| SMA 50 | 4,118.95 | Below −1.8% |
| SMA 100 | 4,375.29 | Below −7.5% |
| SMA 200 | 4,502.62 | Below −10.2% |
Momentum (1D)
Short-term speed of the move. RSI flags stretched conditions; MACD shows momentum building or fading.
| Signal | Value | Read |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 46.0 | neutral · 35 band |
| MACD | -21.18 | Above signal |
| Signal / Hist | -29.02 / 7.84 | Bull narrowing |
Adaptive RSI Bands
1D is in transition with mixed DI, so the engine uses the 35 / 65 band (not the fixed 70/30). RSI 46.0 sits in neutral → reads as neutral. Same adaptive logic as the live Call-for-Action tab.
- Learn how to read regime states →
Clear Skies through Full Storm — what each weather label means in practice.
- Understand Market Structure →
ADX, DI+/DI−, and Hurst — the cheat sheet behind the persistence table.
- Generate your own Asset Sheet →
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Create your Asset Sheet →regimeintelligence.com · open Opportunity Scanner →Generated from live Regime Intelligence engine data. Descriptive context only — not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets guarantee nothing. Educational use only. Not investment advice.
RI™ Asset Sheet Series · XAU/USD · Snapshot Aug 1 2026 12:06 ET
The XAU/USD Asset Sheet is the entire Regime Intelligence read on Gold spot, on one page — built from the same engine that powers the live app. Download it, share it, keep it next to your charts.
What's inside
- Regime across all five timeframes — 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D, 1W.
- Trend & control per timeframe — ADX, DI, and Hurst.
- Support/resistance, key levels, and 50/100/200-day moving averages.
- Momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ price range.
This sheet is a dated snapshot (Jul 31, 2026). For the live, always-current XAU/USD read, open it in the app.