Assets Sheets

SPY Asset Sheet

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust on one page — regime across all five timeframes, trend & control, support/resistance, moving averages, momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ range. Snapshot as of Aug 7, 2026.

Regime IntelligenceUpdated October 12, 20262 min readSPY
RI™ Asset Sheet Series
SPY · SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust · US
$773.12 ▲ +4.59 (+0.6%)
from today's open · snapshot Aug 8, 2026 · 01:18 ET
Regime · Daily
Storm Warning
STRESS

All numbers below are from Aug 8, 2026 · 01:18 ET. Prices and engine data may have changed since this snapshot. This sheet describes conditions at one moment — it is not a forecast.

Open live SPY chart →
The read

At this snapshot, the daily bar sat in Storm Warning (weekly: Thin Ice). On the daily bar, ADX was 22.1 (below 25 · not confirmed) while DI+ led DI− (30.7 / 17.4) and Hurst sat near 0.50 (random walk). Price sat above the 50-day/100-day/200-day average(s). Put together: buyers had the daily wheel, and trend strength was still forming (ADX in the 20s — not fully confirmed). MACD and the histogram lined up with that same side — control and momentum were telling one story. RSI was stretched to the overbought side — control and momentum agreed, but stretch is the soft spot where advances may pause or cool. Hurst sat near random walk — persistence was not a strong vote either way. This describes conditions at the snapshot — not a forecast of direction.

Technicals
  • Levels: R1 at $773.92 — first resistance above snapshot price (Swing).
  • Levels: A sustained move above R1 could bring R2 at $776.85 into focus; a failure could see price retreat toward S1 at $767.54 and S2 at $737.68 if S1 fails.
  • Levels: Monitor participation on any test of R1 or S1 — thin moves are less convincing than volume-backed acceptance.
  • MAs: Spot vs 50/100/200 — $747.19 (Above +3.5%), $723.63 (Above +6.8%), $702.97 (Above +10.0%).
  • Momentum: Adaptive RSI in Transition (current) mode — OB/OS at 65/35; RSI 66.0 reads lean OB · 35 band. MACD Above signal; Bull widening.
The bottom line
  • Storm Warning daily backdrop — weekly read Thin Ice. Buyers led the daily bar; momentum agreed.
  • With buyers and momentum aligned, the map question is whether R1 near $773.92 gives way on acceptance — or whether a failure drops attention back to S1 near $767.54. The RSI stretch is the soft spot on that push.
  • Stretch check: RSI 66.0 (lean OB · 35 band). Price sat above the 50-day/100-day/200-day average(s).
  • Open the live SPY chart for current reads — this sheet is a fixed snapshot (engine bar date 2026-08-07).

Descriptive if/then scenarios only — not a buy or sell recommendation.

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Price map — what to watch on the chart

Daily candles to the snapshot date. Chart overlays the nearest 3 supports and 3 resistances; the S/R section below lists up to 4 per side. Top strip lists those chart levels; Y-axis shows short tags only (R1, S1, ±σ). Blue line = snapshot price.

SPY daily price map with support, resistance, moving averages, snapshot price, and 1σ / 2σ cones — snapshot 2026-08-07
Download chart PNG

Daily σ price band

Typical one-day up/down range from 252 days of daily log returns — same formula as the live app.

−3σ
$755.16
−2.3%
−2σ
$761.30
−1.5%
−1σ
$767.49
−0.7%
SPOT
$773.12
—
+1σ
$780.03
+0.9%
+2σ
$786.37
+1.7%
+3σ
$792.77
+2.5%

252-day historical daily vol at snapshot: 1σ ≈ 0.81% (±$6.91 on this close). 252 trading days of daily log returns → μ and σ → spot × exp(μ ± k·σ). Same engine formula as Call for Action. Historical close-to-close vol — not ATR or options implied vol.

Support & Resistance

Prices where the move has paused before. Resistance sits above price; support sits below.

Resistance
773.92

Swing

Distance from Spot ~0%
Level Strength Weak
776.85

Swing · all-time high · 52-week high

Distance from Spot ~0.48%↑
Level Strength Moderate
Support
767.54

Swing · prior-day low

Distance from Spot ~0.72%↓
Level Strength Moderate
737.68

Swing

Distance from Spot ~4.6%↓
Level Strength Weak
729.10 – 729.60

Swing · prior-month low · prior-week low

Distance from Spot ~5.7%↓
Level Strength Strong
726.86

Swing

Distance from Spot ~6.0%↓
Level Strength Moderate

52-Week Range

Where today’s price sits between the 12-month low and high.

$773.12 · 97%
52W Low $629.11 −18.6%ATH / 52W High $776.85 +0.5%

Regime — All Timeframes

The market “weather” on each timeframe — calm, expansion, fragile, or stressed. Timeframes can disagree.

15M
Tailwind
EXPANSION
1H
Thin Ice
FRAGILE
4H
Tailwind
EXPANSION
1D
Storm Warning
STRESS
1W
Thin Ice
FRAGILE

Market Structure

Whether a real trend exists, and who is in control (buyers or sellers), on each timeframe.

15M
no trend
ADX 17.8 · bull DI
1H
random walk
ADX 40.7 · bull DI
4H
random walk
ADX 30.5 · bull DI
1D
trend emerging
ADX 22.1 · bull DI
1W
no trend
ADX 14.1 · bull DI

Trend Persistence (1D)

Whether the daily move is likely to continue (trend) or fade (mean-revert), and which side is in control.

SignalValueRead
Hurst0.50Random walk
DI+ / DI−30.7 / 17.4DI+ higher (daily bar)
ADX22.1Below 25 · not confirmed

Moving Averages (1D)

Where price sits versus its 50-, 100-, and 200-day averages. Above = longer-term strength; below = weakness.

MAPriceVs Spot
SMA 50747.19Above +3.5%
SMA 100723.63Above +6.8%
SMA 200702.97Above +10.0%

Momentum (1D)

Short-term speed of the move. RSI flags stretched conditions; MACD shows momentum building or fading.

SignalValueRead
RSI (14)66.0lean OB · 35 band
MACD6.19Above signal
Signal / Hist2.85 / 3.34Bull widening

Adaptive RSI Bands

Range / revert
OB 70OS 30
Transition (current) ★
OB 65OS 35
Bull trend
OB 80OS 40
Bear trend
OB 60OS 20

1D is in transition with bullish DI, so the engine uses the 35 / 65 band (not the fixed 70/30). RSI 66.0 sits lean OB → reads as lean ob. Same adaptive logic as the live Call-for-Action tab.

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Generated from live Regime Intelligence engine data. Descriptive context only — not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Markets guarantee nothing. Educational use only. Not investment advice.

RI™ Asset Sheet Series · SPY · Snapshot Aug 8 2026 01:18 ET

The SPY Asset Sheet is the entire Regime Intelligence read on SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, on one page — built from the same engine that powers the live app. Download it, share it, keep it next to your charts.

What's inside

  • Regime across all five timeframes — 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D, 1W.
  • Trend & control per timeframe — ADX, DI, and Hurst.
  • Support/resistance, key levels, and 50/100/200-day moving averages.
  • Momentum, adaptive RSI bands, and the one-day σ price range.

This sheet is a dated snapshot (Aug 7, 2026). For the live, always-current SPY read, open it in the app.

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Informational only — not investment advice. Engine data as of publication date; live reads may differ. Disclaimer.

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