Macro
US 10Y Breakeven Inflation
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 63.4%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 8 1d bars (8 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 70
US 10Y Breakeven Inflation has entered Thin Ice 70 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.4% (mean +4.7%) — positive 49% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 68 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -0.4% · split evenly — positive and negative in equal measure · worst case -58.7%
Watch for: historically, US 10Y Breakeven Inflation exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 57% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.