Macro
US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 63.2%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 27 1d bars (27 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 65
US 10-Year Treasury Yield has entered Clear Skies 65 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.3% (mean +13.9%) — positive 52% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 60 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.3% · negative 48% of the time · worst case -63.8%
Watch for: historically, US 10-Year Treasury Yield exited Clear Skies within 180 bars in 52% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.