Macro
US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven)
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 55.0%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 29 1d bars (29 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 62
US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven) has entered Clear Skies 62 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 7.0% (mean +1.5%) — positive 39% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -7.0% · more often negative than positive · worst case -760.0%
Watch for: historically, US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven) exited Clear Skies within 90 bars in 52% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.