REAL10Y_BE_COMPUTED

$2.42Closed

US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven)

Session

Open: $2.42
High: $2.42
Low: $2.42
Close: $2.42

Change

Chg: $0.08
% Chg: +3.42%

Prior

Prev close: $2.34

52-week

Low: $1.67
High: $2.47
Range: $1.67 - $2.47

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 33.7%(low)

In this regime now (1d): 2 1d bars (2 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 76

US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven) has entered Thin Ice 76 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 10.5% (mean +28.1%) — positive 43% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 74 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -10.5% · more often negative than positive · worst case -2583.3%

Watch for: historically, US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven) exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars39%positiven=75

10 bars44%positiven=75

21 bars48%positiven=75

30 bars49%positiven=75

90 bars55%positiven=75

180 bars43%positiven=74