XLY

$112.86Closed

S&P Consumer Discretionary Sector SPDR

Session

Open: $112.35
High: $112.98
Low: $112.21
Close: $112.86

Change

Chg: $1.17
% Chg: +1.05%

Prior

Prev close: $111.69

Volume

Vol: 801,909
Avg vol: 6,676,265

52-week

Low: $105.19
High: $125.01
Range: $105.19 - $125.01

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 33.7%(low)

In this regime now (1d): 4 1d bars (4 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 71

S&P Consumer Discretionary Sector SPDR has entered Thin Ice 71 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 7.8% (mean +7.8%) — positive 82% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 68 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +7.8% · negative 18% of the time (roughly 1 in 6) · worst case -31.2%

Watch for: historically, S&P Consumer Discretionary Sector SPDR exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 64% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars49%positiven=70

10 bars51%positiven=70

21 bars57%positiven=70

30 bars59%positiven=70

90 bars66%positiven=70

180 bars82%positiven=68