Equities
S&P Real Estate Sector SPDR
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 56.9%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 1 1d bars (1 day)
Times entered this regime (1d): 45
S&P Real Estate Sector SPDR has entered Thin Ice 45 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 1.5% (mean +1.7%) — positive 59% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 41 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +1.5% · negative 41% of the time · worst case -18.7%
Watch for: historically, S&P Real Estate Sector SPDR exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 64% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.