Equities
S&P Financials Sector SPDR
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 60.9%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 6 1d bars (6 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 61
S&P Financials Sector SPDR has entered Thin Ice 61 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 9.7% (mean +8.1%) — positive 76% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +9.7% · negative 24% of the time (roughly 1 in 4) · worst case -23.8%
Watch for: historically, S&P Financials Sector SPDR exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 68% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.