Equities
S&P Materials Sector SPDR
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 49.4%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 4 1d bars (4 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 73
S&P Materials Sector SPDR has entered Thin Ice 73 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 7.7% (mean +5.2%) — positive 65% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 71 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +7.7% · negative 35% of the time · worst case -26.5%
Watch for: historically, S&P Materials Sector SPDR exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 69% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.