Equities
S&P Materials Sector SPDR
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 33.3%(low)
In this regime now (1d): 5 1d bars (5 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 73
S&P Materials Sector SPDR has entered Thin Ice 73 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 7.1% (mean +5.0%) — positive 62% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 71 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +7.1% · negative 38% of the time · worst case -26.5%
Watch for: historically, S&P Materials Sector SPDR exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 68% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.