Equities
SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 44.5%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 12 1d bars (12 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 64
SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF has entered Thin Ice 64 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 5.4% (mean +6.7%) — positive 67% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 63 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +5.4% · negative 32% of the time · worst case -53.5%
Watch for: historically, SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 56% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.