XAU/USD

4,045.80

Gold spot

Session

Open: 4,043.11
High: 4,057.68
Low: 4,028.01
Close: 4,046.44

Change

Chg: -14.52
% Chg: -0.36%

Prior

Prev close: 4,060.32

52-week

Low: 3,949.45
High: 5,597.23
Range: 3,949.45 - 5,597.23

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Storm Warning

Market stress: 79.0%(elevated)

In this regime now (1d): 1 1d bars (1 day)

Times entered this regime (1d): 63

Gold spot has entered Storm Warning 63 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 6.8% (mean +8.2%) — positive 66% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +6.8% · negative 34% of the time · worst case -24.7%

Watch for: historically, Gold spot exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 66% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Storm Warning.

5 bars56%positiven=62

10 bars55%positiven=62

21 bars48%positiven=62

30 bars53%positiven=62

90 bars67%positiven=60

180 bars66%positiven=59