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XAU/USD

4,211.08

Gold spot

Last updated: 56 minutes ago

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All analysis is generated by sophisticated algorithms and probability models. Markets guarantee nothing. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.

MA alignmentToday
Now below all key moving averages

GC1 is now below 4 of 4 key daily moving averages (20, 50, 100, 200).

Near levelToday
Near resistance at $4,217.99

GC1 is within one daily ATR of resistance at $4,217.99 — last tested 11 Jun 2026.

Level: 4,217.99
Near levelToday
Near 20-day average at $4,187.70

GC1 is within one daily ATR of 20-day average at $4,187.70.

Level: 4,187.70

Daily σ price ranges

What do the sigma bands mean??

Based on the historical distribution of daily returns:

  • Approximately 68% of daily price moves stayed within the ±1σ range
  • Approximately 95% stayed within the ±2σ range
  • Approximately 99.7% stayed within the ±3σ range

Actual market behavior may differ from a perfect normal distribution, especially during periods of elevated volatility or market stress.

+3σ
4,413.45
+2σ
4,346.06
+1σ
4,278.66
-1σ
4,143.87
-2σ
4,076.47
-3σ
4,009.07
The levels

Support & Resistance

Nearest meaningful structure below and above today's price — swings, session refs, and weekly levels when close. Cards note when a level aligns with the 100/200-day average or prior week high/low.

Resistance · nearest first
4,217.99
~0%

prior-day high

key level
4,263.05 – 4,278.35
~1.5%↑

Swing

4,301.65 – 4,316.95
~2.4%↑

Swing

4,352.39 – 4,367.69
~3.6%↑

prior-month low

key levelconfluence
4,398.29 – 4,413.59
~4.7%↑

Swing

4,460.65
~6.0%↑

200-SMA

4,529.36 – 4,544.66
~7.8%↑

Swing

4,586.87
~9.0%↑

50-SMA

4,657.82 – 4,673.12
~11%↑

Swing

4,727.55 – 4,742.85
~13%↑

Swing

4,765.64 – 4,780.94
~13%↑

prior-month high

key levelconfluence
4,809.21 – 4,824.43
~14%↑

Swing

Support · nearest first
4,167.30 – 4,171.41
~0.89%↓

Swing

4,067.52
~3.3%↓

Pivot

4,023.50
~4.4%↓

prior-day low

key level
3,958.68 – 3,972.10
~5.7%↓

Swing

3,918.00 – 3,921.71
~6.8%↓

Swing

3,823.79
~9.1%↓

Pivot

3,768.57
~10%↓

Pivot

3,720.78 – 3,730.00
~11%↓

Swing

3,686.83
~12%↓

Pivot

3,630.53 – 3,641.01
~14%↓

Swing

Timeframes analysed: 15m, 1h, 4h, 1d, 1w
Trend & control

Who has the upper hand on each timeframe — and how strong?

Built from ADX (trend strength, 0–100) plus DI+ / DI− (Wilder Directional Movement, period 14). Higher DI side has the upper hand. ADX below 20 means no real trend — levels matter more than direction in that regime.

15m
ADX 20.0 · trend emerging

Sellers in control, emerging trend (ADX 20.0, conviction firming). DI+ 12.1 vs DI− 27.6.

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

DI+ 12.1
DI− 27.6
1h
ADX 23.5 · trend emerging

Sellers in control, emerging trend (ADX 23.5, conviction firming). DI+ 15.9 vs DI− 29.9.

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

DI+ 15.9
DI− 29.9
4h
ADX 21.3 · trend emerging

Sellers in control, emerging trend (ADX 21.3, conviction easing). DI+ 19.0 vs DI− 26.1.

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

DI+ 19.0
DI− 26.1
1d
ADX 33.8 · trend established

Sellers in control, established trend (ADX 33.8, conviction firming). DI+ 9.6 vs DI− 33.7.

Unstable conditions — signals less reliable

DI+ 9.6
DI− 33.7
1w
ADX 31.5 · trend established

Sellers in control, established trend (ADX 31.5, conviction easing). DI+ 19.2 vs DI− 28.6.

Strong downtrend — bounces are opportunities in trend direction

DI+ 19.2
DI− 28.6

Descriptive, not prescriptive. The card hints at directional bias from price/range action — it does not predict the next bar.

Momentum & oscillators

RSI, SMI, MACD across timeframes — what the indicators are saying

RSI(14): zone (oversold/neutral/overbought) and direction. SMI(14,3,3,3): above or below its signal line. MACD(12,26,9): histogram sign and whether it’s expanding or contracting. When all three pills agree on a TF, conviction is higher; when they disagree, the move is mixed.

15m
RSI 50?
neutral

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

RSI at 50.0 — neutral zone

SMI 4
below signal
MACD -1.40
bearish · contracting
1h
RSI 56?
neutral

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

RSI at 55.7 — neutral zone

SMI 78
near signal
MACD -0.580
bearish · expanding
4h
RSI 47?
neutral

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

RSI at 46.7 — neutral zone

SMI 44
above signal
MACD 15.70
bullish · flat
1d
RSI 35?
neutral

Unstable conditions — signals less reliable

RSI at 35.4 — neutral zone

SMI -55
above signal
MACD -27.37
bearish · contracting
1w
RSI 40?
neutral

Strong downtrend — bounces are opportunities in trend direction

RSI at 39.9 — neutral zone

SMI -49
below signal
MACD -100.27
bearish · expanding

Descriptive, not prescriptive. Oscillators describe state; they don’t guarantee the next move. Combine with the Trend & control card above for direction context.