Equities
Vanguard Growth ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 56.3%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 8 1d bars (8 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 79
Vanguard Growth ETF has entered Thin Ice 79 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 12.5% (mean +10.8%) — positive 82% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 76 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +12.5% · negative 18% of the time (roughly 1 in 6) · worst case -30.8%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Growth ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 67% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.