Equities
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 30.0%(low)
In this regime now (1d): 13 1d bars (13 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 92
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF has entered Tailwind 92 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 10.6% (mean +8.2%) — positive 81% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 88 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +10.6% · negative 19% of the time (roughly 1 in 5) · worst case -32.3%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.