Equities
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Storm WarningMarket stress: 66.7%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 4 1d bars (4 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 44
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF has entered Storm Warning 44 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 9.0% (mean +8.1%) — positive 76% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 41 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +9.0% · negative 24% of the time (roughly 1 in 4) · worst case -14.4%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF exited Storm Warning within 10 bars in 51% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Storm Warning.