Equities
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 57.5%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 8 1d bars (8 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 77
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF has entered Tailwind 77 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 10.9% (mean +10.4%) — positive 88% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 75 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +10.9% · rarely negative (about 1 in 8) · worst case -23.2%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard S&P 500 ETF exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 64% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.