Equities
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 57.9%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 18 1d bars (18 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 68
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF has entered Thin Ice 68 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 5.9% (mean +5.3%) — positive 79% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 66 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +5.9% · negative 21% of the time (roughly 1 in 5) · worst case -23.2%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.