Equities
Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 92.5%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 22 1d bars (22 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 76
Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF has entered Thin Ice 76 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.8% (mean +0.2%) — positive 51% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 75 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.8% · negative 49% of the time · worst case -39.4%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 62% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.