Equities
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 99.9%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 10 1d bars (10 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 59
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF has entered Thin Ice 59 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.4% (mean +0.4%) — positive 53% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 58 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.4% · negative 47% of the time · worst case -7.6%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.