Equities
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 93.7%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 15 1d bars (15 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 60
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF has entered Thin Ice 60 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 1.2% (mean +0.3%) — positive 60% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 58 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +1.2% · negative 40% of the time · worst case -16.0%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 52% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.