Equities
Vanguard Small-Cap ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 60.0%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 13 1d bars (13 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 64
Vanguard Small-Cap ETF has entered Thin Ice 64 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 7.9% (mean +6.4%) — positive 76% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 62 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +7.9% · negative 24% of the time (roughly 1 in 4) · worst case -38.2%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Small-Cap ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 69% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.