Equities
USO
$140.82Closed
United States Oil Fund
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Full StormMarket stress: 57.5%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 113 1d bars (113 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 123
United States Oil Fund has entered Full Storm 123 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 2.4% (mean +3.5%) — positive 53% of the time.
Confidence: High — Based on 121 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +2.4% · negative 47% of the time · worst case -78.3%
Watch for: historically, United States Oil Fund exited Full Storm within 21 bars in 54% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.
5 bars54%positiven=123
10 bars54%positiven=123
21 bars56%positiven=123
30 bars56%positiven=123
90 bars59%positiven=123
180 bars53%positiven=121