Equities
United States Oil Fund
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Full StormMarket stress: 48.5%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 36 1d bars (36 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 125
United States Oil Fund has entered Full Storm 125 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 2.5% (mean +3.4%) — positive 53% of the time.
Confidence: High — Based on 122 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +2.5% · negative 47% of the time · worst case -76.3%
Watch for: historically, United States Oil Fund exited Full Storm within 21 bars in 55% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.