FX
USD/TRY
49.5179Closed
US Dollar / Turkish Lira
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 39.7%(low)
In this regime now (1d): 6 1d bars (6 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 85
US Dollar / Turkish Lira has entered Tailwind 85 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 11.8% (mean +16.2%) — positive 85% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 82 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +11.8% · rarely negative (about 1 in 7) · worst case -11.8%
Watch for: historically, US Dollar / Turkish Lira exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.
5 bars68%positiven=85
10 bars70%positiven=84
21 bars68%positiven=84
30 bars76%positiven=84
90 bars81%positiven=83
180 bars85%positiven=82