FX
USD/JPY
158.7123
US Dollar / Japanese Yen
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 49.8%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 8 1d bars (8 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 77
US Dollar / Japanese Yen has entered Thin Ice 77 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 1.1% (mean +1.6%) — positive 57% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 74 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +1.1% · negative 43% of the time · worst case -15.0%
Watch for: historically, US Dollar / Japanese Yen exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 55% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.
5 bars51%positiven=77
10 bars57%positiven=76
21 bars57%positiven=76
30 bars57%positiven=76
90 bars50%positiven=76
180 bars57%positiven=74