Macro
US 5-Year Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 36.8%(low)
In this regime now (1d): 1 1d bars (1 day)
Times entered this regime (1d): 86
US 5-Year Treasury Yield has entered Tailwind 86 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.2% (mean +15.8%) — positive 51% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 81 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.2% · negative 44% of the time · worst case -87.1%
Watch for: historically, US 5-Year Treasury Yield exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.