Markets/DGS5

Macro

DGS5

$4.48Closed

US 5-Year Treasury Yield

Session

Open
$4.48
High
$4.48
Low
$4.48
Close
$4.48

Change

Chg
$0.10
% Chg
+2.28%

Prior

Prev close
$4.38

52-week

Low
$3.51
High
$4.48
Range
$3.51 - $4.48

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Tailwind

Market stress: 25.5%(low)

In this regime now (1d): 7 1d bars (7 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 85

US 5-Year Treasury Yield has entered Tailwind 85 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.2% (mean +15.8%) — positive 51% of the time.

Confidence: ModerateBased on 81 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +0.2% · negative 44% of the time · worst case -87.1%

Watch for: historically, US 5-Year Treasury Yield exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.

5 bars40%positiven=85
10 bars51%positiven=84
21 bars45%positiven=84
30 bars57%positiven=84
90 bars52%positiven=83
180 bars51%positiven=81