Macro
US 5-Year Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 53.1%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 28 1d bars (28 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 48
US 5-Year Treasury Yield has entered Clear Skies 48 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 1.0% (mean +19.1%) — positive 52% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 44 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +1.0% · negative 48% of the time · worst case -84.3%
Watch for: historically, US 5-Year Treasury Yield exited Clear Skies within 180 bars in 55% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.