Macro
US 3-Month Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Storm WarningMarket stress: 60.6%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 3 1d bars (3 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 41
US 3-Month Treasury Yield has entered Storm Warning 41 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 4.6% (mean +120.8%) — positive 40% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 40 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -4.6% · more often negative than positive · worst case -100.0%
Watch for: historically, US 3-Month Treasury Yield exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 68% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Storm Warning.