Macro
US 30-Year Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 67.9%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 5 1d bars (5 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 98
US 30-Year Treasury Yield has entered Tailwind 98 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.3% (mean +3.1%) — positive 50% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 94 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.3% · split evenly — positive and negative in equal measure · worst case -47.8%
Watch for: historically, US 30-Year Treasury Yield exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 63% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.