Macro
US 2-Year Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 67.3%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 3 1d bars (3 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 93
US 2-Year Treasury Yield has entered Tailwind 93 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 1.3% (mean +42.8%) — positive 51% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 88 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +1.3% · negative 44% of the time · worst case -91.6%
Watch for: historically, US 2-Year Treasury Yield exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 58% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.