DFII10

$2.42Closed

US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield

Session

Open: $2.42
High: $2.42
Low: $2.42
Close: $2.42

Change

Chg: $0.08
% Chg: +3.42%

Prior

Prev close: $2.34

52-week

Low: $1.67
High: $2.47
Range: $1.67 - $2.47

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 33.8%(low)

In this regime now (1d): 2 1d bars (2 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 79

US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield has entered Thin Ice 79 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 12.4% (mean +3.9%) — positive 43% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 77 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -12.4% · more often negative than positive · worst case -8700.0%

Watch for: historically, US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 62% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars36%positiven=78

10 bars42%positiven=78

21 bars50%positiven=78

30 bars49%positiven=78

90 bars59%positiven=78

180 bars43%positiven=77