Markets/DGS10

Macro

DGS10

$4.73Closed

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Session

Open
$4.73
High
$4.73
Low
$4.73
Close
$4.73

Change

Chg
$0.06
% Chg
+1.28%

Prior

Prev close
$4.67

52-week

Low
$3.97
High
$4.75
Range
$3.97 - $4.75

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Tailwind

Market stress: 41.7%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 24 1d bars (24 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 100

US 10-Year Treasury Yield has entered Tailwind 100 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 2.1% (mean +16.0%) — positive 54% of the time.

Confidence: ModerateBased on 95 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +2.1% · negative 46% of the time · worst case -62.8%

Watch for: historically, US 10-Year Treasury Yield exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 67% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.

5 bars44%positiven=100
10 bars50%positiven=100
21 bars47%positiven=100
30 bars49%positiven=99
90 bars52%positiven=98
180 bars54%positiven=95