Macro
US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 41.7%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 24 1d bars (24 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 100
US 10-Year Treasury Yield has entered Tailwind 100 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 2.1% (mean +16.0%) — positive 54% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 95 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +2.1% · negative 46% of the time · worst case -62.8%
Watch for: historically, US 10-Year Treasury Yield exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 67% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.