Equities
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Storm WarningMarket stress: 78.4%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 6 1d bars (6 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 46
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF has entered Storm Warning 46 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 3.3% (mean +1.2%) — positive 49% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 41 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -3.3% · more often negative than positive · worst case -29.9%
Watch for: historically, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 76% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.