Markets/T5YIE

Macro

T5YIE

$2.33Closed

US 5Y Breakeven Inflation

Session

Open
$2.33
High
$2.33
Low
$2.33
Close
$2.33

Change

Chg
$0.00
% Chg
+0.00%

Prior

Prev close
$2.33

52-week

Low
$2.16
High
$2.72
Range
$2.16 - $2.72

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Tailwind

Market stress: 53.2%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 4 1d bars (4 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 87

US 5Y Breakeven Inflation has entered Tailwind 87 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.8% (mean -3.8%) — positive 48% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 85 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -0.8% · more often negative than positive · worst case -147.0%

Watch for: historically, US 5Y Breakeven Inflation exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 59% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.

5 bars50%positiven=86
10 bars44%positiven=86
21 bars41%positiven=86
30 bars41%positiven=86
90 bars47%positiven=86
180 bars48%positiven=85