Markets/T5YIE

Macro

T5YIE

$2.31Closed

US 5Y Breakeven Inflation

Session

Open
$2.31
High
$2.31
Low
$2.31
Close
$2.31

Change

Chg
$0.00
% Chg
+0.00%

Prior

Prev close
$2.31

52-week

Low
$2.16
High
$2.72
Range
$2.16 - $2.72

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Full Storm

Market stress: 62.6%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 61 1d bars (61 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 37

US 5Y Breakeven Inflation has entered Full Storm 37 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 8.6% (mean -42.5%) — positive 31% of the time.

Confidence: ModerateBased on 36 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -8.6% · more often negative than positive · worst case -579.2%

Watch for: historically, US 5Y Breakeven Inflation exited Full Storm within 21 bars in 68% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.

5 bars43%positiven=37
10 bars46%positiven=37
21 bars46%positiven=37
30 bars43%positiven=37
90 bars42%positiven=36
180 bars31%positiven=36