Macro
US 5Y Breakeven Inflation
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Full StormMarket stress: 62.6%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 61 1d bars (61 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 37
US 5Y Breakeven Inflation has entered Full Storm 37 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 8.6% (mean -42.5%) — positive 31% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 36 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -8.6% · more often negative than positive · worst case -579.2%
Watch for: historically, US 5Y Breakeven Inflation exited Full Storm within 21 bars in 68% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.