Macro
US Yield Curve Slope (10Y-2Y)
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 72.8%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 2 1d bars (2 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 81
US Yield Curve Slope (10Y-2Y) has entered Tailwind 81 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 13.1% (mean -201.3%) — positive 44% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 79 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -13.1% · more often negative than positive · worst case -17900.0%
Watch for: historically, US Yield Curve Slope (10Y-2Y) exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 64% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.