Markets/TERM_5Y30Y_COMPUTED

Macro

TERM_5Y30Y_COMPUTED

$0.52Closed

US Curve Slope (30Y-5Y)

Session

Open
$0.52
High
$0.52
Low
$0.52
Close
$0.52

Change

Chg
-$0.04
% Chg
-7.14%

Prior

Prev close
$0.56

52-week

Low
$0.41
High
$1.14
Range
$0.41 - $1.14

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Storm Warning

Market stress: 92.8%(elevated)

In this regime now (1d): 7 1d bars (7 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 52

US Curve Slope (30Y-5Y) has entered Storm Warning 52 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 14.7% (mean +3.7%) — positive 38% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 48 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -14.7% · more often negative than positive · worst case -228.6%

Watch for: historically, US Curve Slope (30Y-5Y) exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 55% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Storm Warning.

5 bars31%positiven=52
10 bars33%positiven=51
21 bars41%positiven=51
30 bars43%positiven=51
90 bars32%positiven=50
180 bars38%positiven=48