T5YIE

$2.27Closed

US 5Y Breakeven Inflation

Session

Open: $2.27
High: $2.27
Low: $2.27
Close: $2.27

Change

Chg: $0.03
% Chg: +1.34%

Prior

Prev close: $2.24

52-week

Low: $2.19
High: $2.72
Range: $2.19 - $2.72

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 75.2%(elevated)

In this regime now (1d): 2 1d bars (2 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 50

US 5Y Breakeven Inflation has entered Thin Ice 50 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 1.9% (mean -2.6%) — positive 52% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 48 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +1.9% · negative 48% of the time · worst case -144.5%

Watch for: historically, US 5Y Breakeven Inflation exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 76% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.

5 bars53%positiven=49

10 bars41%positiven=49

21 bars45%positiven=49

30 bars45%positiven=49

90 bars52%positiven=48

180 bars52%positiven=48