Equities
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Full StormMarket stress: 30.1%(low)
In this regime now (1d): 15 1d bars (15 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 76
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 has entered Full Storm 76 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 33.3% (mean -31.4%) — positive 4% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 73 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -33.3% · predominantly negative — positive only 4% of the time · worst case -62.8%
Watch for: historically, ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 tended to remain in Full Storm for extended periods — the majority of occurrences were still in this state at 180 bars.