Markets/SPREAD_TIPS_BE_COMPUTED

Macro

SPREAD_TIPS_BE_COMPUTED

$0.17Closed

US 10Y TIPS Real minus Breakeven

Session

Open
$0.17
High
$0.17
Low
$0.17
Close
$0.17

Change

Chg
$0.01
% Chg
+6.25%

Prior

Prev close
$0.16

52-week

Low
-$0.70
High
$0.23
Range
-$0.70 - $0.23

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Tailwind

Market stress: 40.7%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 1 1d bars (1 day)

Times entered this regime (1d): 97

US 10Y TIPS Real minus Breakeven has entered Tailwind 97 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 5.7% (mean -25.9%) — positive 48% of the time.

Confidence: ModerateBased on 92 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -5.7% · more often negative than positive · worst case -1414.3%

Watch for: historically, US 10Y TIPS Real minus Breakeven exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 64% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.

5 bars51%positiven=95
10 bars53%positiven=95
21 bars40%positiven=95
30 bars46%positiven=94
90 bars51%positiven=93
180 bars48%positiven=92