SMH

$603.49Closed

VanEck Semiconductor ETF

Session

Open: $615.14
High: $615.39
Low: $601.42
Close: $603.49

Change

Chg: -$3.40
% Chg: -0.56%

Prior

Prev close: $606.89

Volume

Vol: 13,607,841
Avg vol: 6,435,855

52-week

Low: $315.05
High: $671.83
Range: $315.05 - $671.83

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 69.6%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 1 1d bars (1 day)

Times entered this regime (1d): 69

VanEck Semiconductor ETF has entered Thin Ice 69 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 18.1% (mean +20.4%) — positive 85% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 66 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +18.1% · rarely negative (about 1 in 7) · worst case -35.5%

Watch for: historically, VanEck Semiconductor ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 66% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars54%positiven=68

10 bars50%positiven=68

21 bars55%positiven=67

30 bars57%positiven=67

90 bars70%positiven=67

180 bars85%positiven=66