Commodities
XAG/USD
56.98Closed
Silver spot
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 88.6%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 24 1d bars (24 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 65
Silver spot has entered Thin Ice 65 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.9% (mean +6.1%) — positive 48% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 62 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -0.9% · more often negative than positive · worst case -39.5%
Watch for: historically, Silver spot exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 72% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.
5 bars58%positiven=65
10 bars45%positiven=65
21 bars45%positiven=65
30 bars44%positiven=63
90 bars48%positiven=62
180 bars48%positiven=62