SDY

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF has entered Thin Ice 63 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 4.6% (mean +4.6%) — positive 82% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 61 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +4.6% · negative 18% of the time (roughly 1 in 6) · worst case -27.6%

Watch for: historically, SPDR S&P Dividend ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.