Equities
Schwab US REIT ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 52.4%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 1 1d bars (1 day)
Times entered this regime (1d): 49
Schwab US REIT ETF has entered Thin Ice 49 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 5.4% (mean +3.5%) — positive 70% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 46 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +5.4% · negative 30% of the time (roughly 1 in 3) · worst case -20.8%
Watch for: historically, Schwab US REIT ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 71% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.