Equities
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 88.4%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 13 1d bars (13 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 60
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF has entered Thin Ice 60 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 8.2% (mean +6.4%) — positive 72% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 58 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +8.2% · negative 28% of the time (roughly 1 in 4) · worst case -19.2%
Watch for: historically, Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 55% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.