REAL10Y_BE_COMPUTED

$2.35Closed

US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven)

Session

Open: $2.35
High: $2.35
Low: $2.35
Close: $2.35

Change

Chg: $0.03
% Chg: +1.29%

Prior

Prev close: $2.32

52-week

Low: $1.67
High: $2.36
Range: $1.67 - $2.36

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Clear Skies

Market stress: 28.8%(low)

In this regime now (1d): 5 1d bars (5 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 67

US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven) has entered Clear Skies 67 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 9.6% (mean -28.2%) — positive 38% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 60 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -9.6% · more often negative than positive · worst case -760.0%

Watch for: historically, US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven) exited Clear Skies within 10 bars in 64% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.

5 bars55%positiven=66

10 bars48%positiven=66

21 bars54%positiven=65

30 bars51%positiven=65

90 bars40%positiven=63

180 bars38%positiven=60