REAL10Y_BE_COMPUTED

$2.84Closed

US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven)

Session

Open: $2.84
High: $2.84
Low: $2.84
Close: $2.84

Change

Chg: -$0.04
% Chg: -1.39%

Prior

Prev close: $2.88

52-week

Low: $1.68
High: $2.95
Range: $1.68 - $2.95

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Clear Skies

Market stress: 55.0%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 29 1d bars (29 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 62

US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven) has entered Clear Skies 62 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 7.0% (mean +1.5%) — positive 39% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -7.0% · more often negative than positive · worst case -760.0%

Watch for: historically, US 10Y Implied Real Yield (Breakeven) exited Clear Skies within 90 bars in 52% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.

5 bars47%positiven=62

10 bars53%positiven=62

21 bars48%positiven=62

30 bars51%positiven=61

90 bars48%positiven=60

180 bars39%positiven=59