Equities
Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq 100)
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 80.9%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 6 1d bars (6 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 78
Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq 100) has entered Thin Ice 78 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 15.6% (mean +13.0%) — positive 82% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 74 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +15.6% · negative 18% of the time (roughly 1 in 6) · worst case -36.0%
Watch for: historically, Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq 100) exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 70% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.