Equities
Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq 100)
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 59.2%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 1 1d bars (1 day)
Times entered this regime (1d): 70
Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq 100) has entered Thin Ice 70 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 15.4% (mean +13.8%) — positive 84% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 64 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +15.4% · negative 16% of the time (roughly 1 in 6) · worst case -18.0%
Watch for: historically, Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq 100) exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 67% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.