FX
NZD/USD
0.5653Closed
New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 54.2%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 2 1d bars (2 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 69
New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar has entered Thin Ice 69 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.7% (mean -1.1%) — positive 45% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 67 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -0.7% · more often negative than positive · worst case -32.3%
Watch for: historically, New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 63% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.
5 bars50%positiven=68
10 bars49%positiven=68
21 bars49%positiven=68
30 bars49%positiven=67
90 bars42%positiven=67
180 bars45%positiven=67